TDP Catalog

2012 Diversion Two-Year

Diversion

Category

Basis for Outlook

Million Percent

Outlook

PTE

 Three landfills previously using ADC say use is down and/or has been discontinued, suggesting flat or declining use in near future.  Additional CE demand may divert tires from this low-value use.  All four California cement kilns that use TDF say demand is expected to increase as cement production increases with an improving economy.  Two cement kilns cite concerns over tire supply or pricing, but this is not expected to impact use much.  Cogeneration demand will remain zero since the last such facility using TDF closed in 2012.  Demand for waste tire bales/shreds in China has plateaued, while demand for processed TDF, especially in Japan and Korea remains strong. Overall, total waste tire and TDF exports are expected to decline from the 2012 peak in the near term.  Export demand has declined from the 2011 peak. Increased diversion in TDF and TDA is expected while the trend is uncertain for ground rubber and reuse demand is flat.

Flat or

ADC

1.0

2.3%

Declining

Growth

TDF

7.7 17.2%

Expected

Export

15.3 34.4% Declining

Total

Flat or

41.7 92.7%

Diversion

Declining

Long-Term Diversion Outlook The market size and penetration estimates in Table 4 broadly describe the long-term opportunities to expand waste tire diversion. The theoretical market size figures are rough estimates that were developed in 2008. The market size estimates for used tires have increased somewhat, and now combine both exported and domestic used tire sales. No specific maximum market size for waste tire and tire-derived fuel exports is provided. However, global waste tire market demand far exceeds California generation, as described in Section 4.

Contractor’s Report to CalRecycle

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