TDP Catalog

Table 4 Estimated Theoretical Market Size, 2012 Penetration 1

Estimated Theoretical Market Size (Million PTEs)

2012 Penetration (%)

2012 Marketed (Million PTEs)

Category

Low High

Low High

Ground Rubber

44.0 61.7

9.8

16%

22%

Rubberized Asphalt Concrete (RAC)

25

35

4.4

13%

18%

Turf and Athletic Fields

4.0 5.0

2.2

43%

54%

Loose-fill Playground/Bark/Mulch

4.5 7.5

1.8

24%

39%

Pour-in-place Playground

5.0 7.0

0.0

1%

1%

Molded and Extruded

4.0 5.0

1.3

27%

33%

Other Ground Rubber

1.5 2.2

0.1

3%

4%

Alternative Daily Cover (ADC)

35

40

1.0

3%

3%

Civil Engineering (CE)

17.1 24.7

0.6

2%

3%

Non-Landfill Use Landfill Use2 2,3

14.1 20.7

0.0

0%

0%

3.0 4.0

0.6

15%

19%

Tire-Derived Fuels (TDF)

15

20

7.7

39%

51%

Exported Waste Tires/TDF

50+ NA

NA

NA

NA

5.2

103 %

112%

Used Tires (Combines Exported and Domestic Use)

4.6 5.0

Retreading

4.8 5.2

4.0

77%

83%

Other Uses (Including Agriculture)

1

2

0.0

0%

0%

Total (Excludes Exported Waste Tires/TDF)

128 168

28.3

17%

22%

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1 Supporting documentation for this table is provided in the 2010 report, Waste Tire Market Development Program Evaluation, Working Paper #1: Market Penetration Report , available on the CalRecycle website. The 2008 market size estimates were updated for used tires (combining exported and domestic used tires). No specific maximum size for the export market is provided. Global waste tire demand far exceeds California generation. 2 Estimated market size derived from Kennec estimates. 3 Landfill uses market size estimate is for landfill gas and leachate recirculation applications only. The 2008 estimate should not be used as a benchmark to evaluate future effort as it was necessarily based on reported use that in some cases could not be validated by CalRecycle and may not comprise CalRecycle-defined civil engineering uses. Regardless of the uncertainty, SAIC, Kennec, and CalRecycle agree that market penetration for landfill use is relatively low and that there is potential for more tire-derived aggregate to go to landfill gas applications. Landfill applications also include use of significant potential quantities of tire- derived aggregate in operational layers; however, this use is not listed separately because of significant regulatory and supply barriers. Despite the barriers, CalRecycle should be open to opportunities to expand such uses and this potential contributes to listing landfill tire-derived aggregate as a priority market segment.

Contractor’s Report to CalRecycle

33